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Police Officer Mortality Rate: The Statistics Behind the 22-Year Gap

by Michael Ketslakh | Jun 5, 2026 | Police Health

police health check

 

You have probably heard it in a briefing or seen it on a union flyer: police officers live 22 years less than everyone else. It is one of the most repeated statistics in law enforcement, and unlike a lot of numbers that circulate in the profession, this one traces back to real peer-reviewed research. It also gets quoted without the context that makes it meaningful. If you lead a department, you deserve to know exactly where the figure comes from, what it does and does not prove, and what the wider body of research says about how officers actually die. Here is the accurate version.

DISCLAIMER: This is general information, not legal advice. NDS Wellness is a healthcare provider, not a law firm. Whether any specific obligation applies to your workforce depends on your industry, exposures, and jurisdiction, and should be confirmed with your safety team and employment counsel.

Key Insights

  • The 22-year figure is real and traceable: It comes from a 2013 peer-reviewed study by Violanti and colleagues, which found a mean life expectancy difference of 21.9 years between Buffalo, New York police officers and the general US male population.
  • It is one cohort, not a national average: The study followed male officers from a single city over several decades, and the statistical range ran from roughly 14 to 29 years, so the precise "22" should be read as a finding, not a fixed national number.
  • The wider research agrees on the direction: Multiple studies across decades have found elevated all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among officers compared with the general population.
  • Cardiac risk spikes during specific duties: A Harvard study published in the BMJ found sudden cardiac death risk was 34 to 69 times higher during restraints and altercations than during routine duty.
  • The mechanism points straight at screening: Stress, shift work, and cardiovascular strain build quietly over a career, which makes regular cardiac-focused screening the most practical intervention a department controls.

Where the 22-Year Number Comes From

Unlike many statistics that circulate in the fire and police services, this one has a clear origin. Knowing the study behind it lets you use the number with confidence and defend it when someone asks.

The Violanti Study

In 2013, John M. Violanti of the University at Buffalo, working with researchers from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, published a life expectancy analysis in the International Journal of Emergency Mental Health. The team examined male police officers in Buffalo, New York who served at least five years on the force between 1950 and 2005, then compared their life expectancy with the general US male population using life table methods.

What the Researchers Found

On average, officers in the sample had a life expectancy 21.9 years lower than the comparison population, with a 95 percent confidence interval of 14.5 to 29.3 years. The researchers also found that years of potential life lost among officers was roughly 21 times greater than in the general population, and that the gap was more pronounced in younger age groups. In one striking comparison, a male officer aged 50 to 54 had close to a 40 percent probability of death, against roughly 1 percent for men of the same age in the general population.

What the Number Does and Does Not Say

This is where most retellings of the statistic go wrong. The finding is serious and worth acting on, but it is not the same as saying every officer in America loses 22 years of life.

One City, One Group of Officers

The study followed male officers in a single city across a specific historical period. It did not measure every department in the country, and it did not include women or a broad multi-agency sample. That does not invalidate the finding. It does mean the honest framing is "research on this cohort found a gap of about 22 years," not "every officer dies 22 years early."

Why the Range Matters

The confidence interval ran from about 14 to 29 years, which is a wide band. When you cite the number, citing it as a research finding with a range attached is both more accurate and more persuasive, particularly with a city council or a benefits committee that will check your sources. The researchers themselves acknowledged that debate over police life expectancy has continued in the field.

The Wider Mortality Research Points the Same Direction

The 22-year figure is the headline, but it is not the only evidence. Several decades of research point consistently toward elevated mortality risk in policing.

Elevated Death Rates Across Decades

An earlier analysis by Violanti and colleagues of a 40-year cohort of Buffalo officers found all-cause mortality significantly higher than the general population, with elevated deaths from arteriosclerotic heart disease among officers with 10 to 19 years of service. A later assessment covering police deaths from 1950 through 2018 again found deaths from circulatory system disease elevated among officers with longer service time.

The Career Effect

One pattern across this research deserves attention from anyone running a department. People who enter police work generally start as a healthy population, screened and fit at hire. The research suggests they deteriorate physically and psychologically as years of service accumulate. In other words, the risk is not something officers bring to the job. It is something the career appears to build.

Where Cardiac Risk Actually Concentrates

If mortality research tells you officers die earlier, cardiac research tells you when the danger peaks. The findings are specific enough to be useful.

34 to 69 Times Higher Risk During Restraints

A study led by researchers at the Harvard School of Public Health, published in the BMJ in 2014, examined 441 sudden cardiac deaths among US law enforcement officers. Compared with routine and non-emergency activities, the risk of sudden cardiac death was 34 to 69 times higher during restraints and altercations, 32 to 51 times higher during pursuits, 20 to 23 times higher during physical training, and 6 to 9 times higher during medical and rescue operations.

The Time Mismatch

The most revealing part of that study is the mismatch between time and risk. Routine duties account for roughly 75 percent of an officer's working time, yet 77 percent of sudden cardiac deaths occurred during non-routine activity. Restraints and altercations make up an estimated 1 to 2 percent of an officer's annual time on the job, but accounted for about 25 percent of on-duty sudden cardiac deaths.

What That Means for Prevention

An officer does not develop heart disease during a foot pursuit. The pursuit is the trigger. The underlying cardiovascular condition was already there, usually undetected, which is exactly the kind of problem screening exists to find.

Why Officers Carry This Risk

The research points to a combination of factors rather than a single cause, and most of them are cumulative rather than dramatic.

  • Chronic stress: Sustained exposure to high-stress incidents and the physiological load that comes with it.
  • Shift work: Rotating and overnight schedules that disrupt sleep and metabolic function.
  • Weight and fitness: Research has found higher body mass index among officers than in comparable non-police working populations.
  • Environmental exposures: Time spent in traffic, at scenes, and around hazardous substances over a full career.

Every one of these builds slowly and silently, which is why officers so often feel fine right up until something goes wrong.

What Departments Can Actually Do

You cannot remove stress or shift work from policing. You can change how early a problem gets caught, and that is the variable that moves outcomes.

Screening Built for Cardiac Risk

A standard annual physical was never designed for this risk profile. Given how concentrated cardiovascular danger is in this profession, a screening program built around cardiac evaluation, including EKG, stress testing, and echocardiogram, is far better matched to what the research shows actually threatens officers.

Removing the Barriers to Getting Checked

The screening that gets skipped is the one that requires a day off, a drive across town, and a waiting room. Bringing screening to the department, across every watch, is the most reliable way to make sure the whole roster gets checked rather than only the officers who happen to find the time.

What a Department Can Measure Year Over Year

A mortality statistic is a lagging indicator. By the time it shows up in a study, the officers behind it are gone. The useful numbers for a chief, a union representative, or a city risk manager are the leading indicators a department can actually move, and a structured screening program produces them every year.

The first is participation. What share of the roster was screened, and did that share hold across every shift, not only days? The second is the rate of new findings: how many officers left a screening with a previously unknown blood pressure, cholesterol, glucose, or cardiac result that needed attention. The third is follow-through, meaning how many of those findings turned into a confirmed diagnosis, a treatment plan, or a specialist visit within the following months. A fourth, participation among officers over 40, is worth watching separately, because that is where the research concentrates the risk.

Tracked over two or three screening cycles, those three figures tell a department whether risk is being caught earlier each year or simply counted. They also give leadership something concrete to bring to budget conversations and wellness grant applications, where a specific reduction in undiagnosed hypertension carries more weight than a general commitment to officer health.

How NDS Wellness Screens Police Officers

NDS Wellness built its police health and wellness program around exactly the risks this research identifies. Officers get a real physician appointment on-site, not a finger-prick at a folding table, including comprehensive blood work and a full cardiovascular workup with a 12-lead EKG, stress testing, and echocardiogram. Every screening also includes a confidential behavioral health review, because the stress load documented in the research does not only affect the heart.

Results are explained by a physician and follow-up care is coordinated, so a concerning finding becomes a clear next step rather than a dead end. Because we arrive in a mobile wellness clinic, your department can screen across every watch without pulling officers off the street, and results stay confidential between the officer and the clinician.

 

Sources

  • Violanti JM, Fekedulegn D, Hartley TA, Andrew ME, Gu JK, Burchfiel CM. "Life Expectancy in Police Officers: A Comparison with the U.S. General Population." International Journal of Emergency Mental Health, 2013;15(4):217-228: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4734369/
  • Varvarigou V, Farioli A, Korre M, Sato S, Dahabreh IJ, Kales SN. "Law enforcement duties and sudden cardiac death among police officers in United States: case distribution study." BMJ, 2014;349:g6534 (Harvard School of Public Health): pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25406189/
  • Violanti JM, et al. "Dying for the job: police mortality, 1950-2018": pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10191188/
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) / NIOSH document archive, life expectancy in police officers: stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/200459
  • Harvard School of Public Health, "Police at higher risk of sudden cardiac death during stressful duties": news.harvard.edu/gazette

Frequently asked questions

What is a widowmaker heart attack?

A widowmaker is a heart attack caused by a complete blockage of the left anterior descending artery, the largest coronary artery, which supplies half of the heart's muscle. It is a life-threatening event because the blockage cuts off a large territory of the heart at once.

Why is it called a widowmaker?

The name describes the historical pattern of men dying suddenly from this blockage. The Cleveland Clinic notes that women also have this type of heart attack. The event is often fatal without fast treatment, and that is why the name persists.

What are the symptoms of a widowmaker heart attack?

The symptoms match a typical heart attack: chest pressure or pain, discomfort spreading to the arm, jaw, neck or back, shortness of breath, cold sweat, nausea and fatigue. Call 911 if any of these symptoms appear.

Can you survive a widowmaker heart attack?

Yes. Survival depends on minutes. Opening the artery quickly with a clot-busting medication, angioplasty or stent placement can limit the damage. The longer the wait, the larger the injury. The Cleveland Clinic is clear that treatment given promptly can change the outcome; with no treatment, the case can be fatal within hours.

What percentage blockage is a widowmaker?

The term refers to a full blockage, meaning effectively 100 percent in the affected artery. The blockage is normally described as a widowmaker when it is in the left anterior descending artery, where it shuts off blood to a large part of the heart muscle.

Why are police officers at higher risk of sudden cardiac death?

A 2014 BMJ study of 441 US police sudden cardiac deaths found risk 34 to 69 times higher during restraints and altercations than during routine duty, with pursuits at 32 to 51 times higher. The exertion exposes coronary disease that was already present and silent during ordinary work.

What are the risk factors for a widowmaker heart attack?

The Cleveland Clinic lists tobacco use, inactivity, obesity, diabetes, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, age over 45 for men or 50 for women, and family history. Blood pressure, cholesterol and glucose are measurable and frequently silent, which is why screening targets them.

Can a screening detect a widowmaker before it happens?

No routine test identifies a blockage that is about to close. Screening identifies the underlying coronary disease and the risk factors driving it, through an EKG, stress testing, an echocardiogram and blood work. Finding that disease early gives the officer and a physician time to act on it.

Does an EKG show a widowmaker?

During a heart attack, an EKG is one of the first tests used and often shows characteristic changes. Before an event, a resting EKG can be normal even with significant coronary narrowing, which is why a stress test and imaging are added to a cardiac workup rather than relying on the EKG alone.

How often should police officers have cardiac screening?

Annual evaluation is the common standard and the case strengthens with age, years of service and any family history of heart disease. The practical obstacle is access rather than cadence: screening that comes to the department across every watch reaches officers that a clinic appointment never will.

Find the Disease Before the Call Does

A widowmaker is the end of a process that was measurable years earlier. The officers most at risk are the ones who feel fine and have not been screened, and the schedule is the reason they have not been.

Book a Consultation to bring physician-led cardiac screening to your department. Call 888-267-4786 or reach us at ndswellness.com/contact-us.

Sources

  • Cleveland Clinic. Widowmaker Heart Attack.
  • American Heart Association. Warning Signs of a Heart Attack.
  • Varvarigou V, Farioli A, Korre M, Sato S, Dahabreh IJ, Kales SN. Law enforcement duties and sudden cardiac death among police officers in United States: case distribution study. BMJ 2014;349:g6534.
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. High Blood Pressure Facts and Statistics.

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